In early December, Connecticut officials targeted KalshiEX LLC, Robinhood Derivatives, and Crypto.com, accusing them of operating unlicensed gambling services. The state’s Department of Consumer Protection charged these platforms with violating local gambling laws by offering sports wagers without the necessary permits. In a recent legal twist, Kalshi secured temporary relief from a federal judge, halting state enforcement actions during ongoing litigation.
The dispute began when Connecticut’s regulators demanded that the three companies cease their betting operations and allow users to withdraw funds. The state warned that non-compliance could lead to civil penalties or criminal charges. Commissioner Bryan T. Cafferelli underscored that Connecticut law permits sports wagering only by licensed operators, a requirement that none of the involved platforms meet. Regulatory concerns also highlighted potential risks to consumers, such as the manipulation of bets, unresolved payout disputes, and marketing efforts targeting minors or excluded individuals.
Kalshi swiftly countered these actions by filing a lawsuit, asserting that its contracts, which are event-based, fall under the jurisdiction of the federal Commodity Exchange Act rather than state gambling laws. The company contends that only the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has the authority to oversee its operations, thereby challenging Connecticut’s regulatory claims.
As the legal battle unfolds, a federal judge has intervened, granting Kalshi temporary protection. Judge Verson Oliver’s order requires Connecticut to pause enforcement efforts while the case progresses. The state is tasked with responding by January 9, 2026, with further legal arguments expected later that month. Oral hearings are slated for mid-February.
This Connecticut case is part of a broader national pattern of legal challenges facing Kalshi. The company has consistently leaned on the argument of federal preemption, maintaining that state authorities lack the power to regulate its platform due to the Dodd-Frank Act. This legislation, designed to reform financial markets, is at the heart of Kalshi’s argument that state-level gambling laws should not apply to its operations.
In Massachusetts, a similar legal battle is underway, where state regulators are seeking judicial intervention to bar Kalshi’s unlicensed betting activities. During proceedings, Judge Christopher Barry-Smith questioned the applicability of financial market regulations to sports betting, while state attorneys argued that Congress never intended for such rules to encompass recreational gambling.
A setback for Kalshi occurred in Nevada when a federal judge ruled that sports outcomes do not constitute valid “events” under commodities law. This judgment reinforced the stance that Kalshi’s offerings fall within the domain of state gaming regulations, prompting comparable disputes in six additional states.
The controversy around Kalshi underscores a larger debate regarding the intersection of federal and state authority in regulating emerging forms of wagering. The case highlights the complex legal landscape where traditional gambling laws and modern financial regulations intersect. As more states scrutinize platforms like Kalshi, the outcome of these legal proceedings could have far-reaching implications for the future regulation of prediction markets and event-based contracts in the United States.
Historically, states have maintained primary control over gambling activities within their borders, adapting regulations to align with local priorities and concerns. However, the introduction of digital platforms and novel betting models has challenged these traditional frameworks, prompting new questions about jurisdiction and regulatory oversight.
One potential risk in Kalshi’s strategy is the assumption that federal preemption will consistently shield its operations from state intervention. This legal approach might not be as robust as anticipated, especially if courts continue to rule that state regulations apply to activities perceived as gambling. Should Kalshi encounter unfavorable judgments in key states, it may face increased pressure to obtain state licenses or alter its business model.
The ongoing cases against Kalshi may set important precedents for how prediction markets are regulated across the U.S., potentially influencing other companies operating in this space. As the legal proceedings continue, both state and federal regulators, as well as industry stakeholders, will be closely watching the outcome, which may lead to significant changes in how event-based betting is governed.

David Harrison stands tall in gambling journalism, marrying his firsthand casino experiences with a deep understanding of betting psychology. His articles transform complex gambling jargon into engaging tales of strategy and chance, making the world of betting accessible and enjoyable. David’s knack for narrative extends beyond print, making him a sought-after speaker on gambling trends and future bets. In the realm of gambling, David is both a scholar and a storyteller, captivating readers and listeners alike.
