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Nevada Tightens Regulations on Prediction Markets for Licensed Sportsbooks

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On Tuesday, the Nevada Gaming Control Board (NGCB) issued a directive to licensed sportsbooks, urging operators to adhere to strict compliance with all applicable laws across jurisdictions. The NGCB warned that any operator offering sports or event-based contracts will be subject to detailed scrutiny regarding their license suitability.

The new rules set by the NGCB specifically address the offering of prediction market products. This move is significant, as it applies regardless of whether the contracts are listed on exchanges regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). Operators venturing into such contracts within Nevada, other states, or tribal lands may now face suitability reviews or potential disciplinary action.

Ohio, Michigan, and Arizona regulators have echoed similar warnings to operators concerning the prediction market space. Despite this, industry giants like Flutter, the parent company of FanDuel, and DraftKings have expressed interest in exploring opportunities in this sector. State gambling authorities advocate for prediction market platforms to be regulated at the state level, challenging the federal CFTC’s jurisdiction.

Prediction market providers have not accepted these state-level actions passively. Kalshi, a notable player in the industry, took legal action against the Ohio Casino Control Commission. They argued the commission exceeded its authority by restricting Kalshi’s ability to sell event contracts tied to sports outcomes.

The Nevada Gaming Control Board’s recent release highlights what it considers potential violations. According to the NGCB, specific event contracts fall under its jurisdiction as wagering activities. These encompass contracts based on outcomes of sporting events, the World Series of Poker, the Oscars, esports competitions, and political elections.

In Nevada, such sports and event-based contracts are permissible only if the offering entity possesses a nonrestricted gaming license with sports pool approval and complies with all relevant sports wagering requirements. This includes adherence to rules on wagering accounts and sportsbook management systems.

George Assad, a member of the NGCB, emphasized the board’s stance: “A derivative contract or whatever you want to call it is nothing more than a sports wager.” As such, these contracts fall under the regulatory purview of the Nevada Gaming Commission and the NGCB. Operators contravening the NGCB’s ruling will be subject to disciplinary measures.

The stringent regulatory framework in Nevada highlights the ongoing tension between state and federal oversight in the rapidly evolving prediction markets. While proponents argue that state-level regulation is more tailored to local needs and market dynamics, skeptics caution against a fragmented approach, which could lead to regulatory inconsistencies.

Critics of state-level regulation argue that a unified federal approach, under bodies like the CFTC, could provide a cohesive regulatory environment, promoting innovation while ensuring consumer protection. They stress that prediction markets, especially those involving event contracts, require careful oversight to prevent misuse and ensure fairness.

However, supporters of state-regulated prediction markets view local governance as a way to incorporate regional insights and priorities into regulatory practices. They believe this approach allows for more responsive and adaptive management of emerging market trends.

This regulatory push comes at a critical juncture for the gambling industry, which is keenly observing the interplay between traditional sports wagering and innovative prediction markets. The industry’s interest in these emerging platforms is driven by a desire to diversify offerings and attract a broader audience.

As the debate continues, the future of prediction markets in the United States will likely hinge on the balance between regulatory oversight and market innovation. Companies venturing into this space must navigate a complex legal landscape, balancing compliance with strategic growth aspirations.

In conclusion, the NGCB’s recent actions underscore the importance of regulatory clarity and compliance for operators in the prediction market sector. As these markets evolve, the dialogue between state and federal regulators, industry stakeholders, and legal entities will shape the trajectory of prediction markets and their role in the broader gambling industry.